Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 893.165640 1014.960886 1152.373316 1319.908568 1520.031816 1753.149173 2047.793793
2025-02-02 733.877387 893.578882 1090.907561 1356.681805 1711.610452 2178.678240 2856.221581
2025-02-09 652.297486 828.909704 1059.989702 1392.118585 1870.524239 2556.900514 3660.401991
2025-02-16 580.605953 762.347218 1010.932720 1387.173475 1963.726881 2853.607602 4419.921822
2025-02-23 539.468484 729.318280 999.601890 1428.631020 2125.644370 3280.640366 5508.408527
2025-03-02 501.075273 694.268743 978.830848 1449.537818 2254.882680 3678.532314 6672.489849
2025-03-09 461.140058 651.871190 940.774103 1435.407894 2319.828383 3974.038817 7735.471298
2025-03-16 422.903574 607.868193 894.674153 1400.282154 2339.369624 4185.419240 8691.965774
2025-03-23 400.354075 585.758061 880.548159 1416.978898 2455.990347 4616.197786 10343.537741
2025-03-30 369.396455 547.449213 835.767816 1372.821107 2446.158697 4775.128833 11363.802576
2025-04-06 343.042290 514.428967 796.673140 1333.986304 2440.085371 4940.591414 12481.618878
2025-04-13 318.693624 482.864870 757.252537 1289.763552 2415.357681 5056.470309 13510.327799
2025-04-20 310.348474 478.740204 767.567341 1347.555757 2633.231790 5863.513093 17443.963838
2025-04-27 298.830401 468.434643 766.205811 1383.067528 2812.306761 6645.608125 22036.771074
2025-05-04 288.632356 459.350315 765.782251 1419.865955 3002.309473 7533.965253 28033.166980
2025-05-11 274.177090 441.486395 747.013911 1414.699147 3086.828072 8139.066196 33448.098088
2025-05-18 266.523617 435.238273 749.797290 1457.239824 3306.389859 9286.834252 43604.752088
2025-05-25 257.140741 425.026937 743.717011 1478.682448 3474.277446 10341.738250 55256.706440
2025-06-01 244.881781 408.530759 723.500486 1464.188232 3536.437724 11032.913364 65787.829387
2025-06-08 231.557297 389.138154 695.769031 1428.159161 3527.298124 11439.178688 74959.615566
2025-06-15 224.199063 380.687535 689.960680 1445.284448 3687.142781 12664.586906 96104.400657
2025-06-22 211.870388 361.823581 660.756308 1399.996570 3638.032525 12919.471750 107182.845223
2025-06-29 200.899771 345.019324 634.770759 1360.176510 3599.990840 13222.213438 120424.540001